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Hadley

Page history last edited by Kieren Diment 14 years, 6 months ago

We run the same regressions as before on the hadley data, southern hemisphere, northern hemisphere, and global.  Found the data via this page: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/climon/data/themi/g17.htm (replace "g" with "n" and "s" for the other sets)

 

The formula goes like this:

 

ANOMALY = SOLAR + co2

 

And we run the anomaly temperature for the Northern and southern hemispheres and global.

 

Quick notes:

 

CO2 is still the most important variable for the three data sets in terms of what it contributes to the regression.  CO2 is actually a better predictor of anomaly in the southern hemisphere.  Proportions of variance explained are roughty equal to the IPCC data's proportions.

 

Link function is not present for southern hemisphere data, indicating that antarctica is probably currently acting as a buffer against climate change due to its large enthalpy of melting.  On the other hand the link function indicates positive feedback  for the global temperature data.  The residuals for the southern hemisphere aren't as biased as well.

 

Here are the graphs of the regression diagnostics:

 

For the northern hemisphere

 

 

For the southern hemisphere:

 

 

Global:

 

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